Modi celebrates victory in India vote, but falls short of landslide

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s
political alliance won India’s weeks-long general election on Tuesday, but
the opposition said voters had sent a clear message after his Hindu
nationalist party lost its parliamentary majority for the first time in a
decade.

Commentators and exit polls had projected an overwhelming victory for Modi,
whose campaign wooed the Hindu majority to the worry of the country’s 200-
million-plus Muslim community, deepening concerns over minority rights.

The alliance led by Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won an overall
parliamentary majority, results on the election commission website showed
late Tuesday.

But the BJP itself was projected to secure only 240 seats of its own, well
down on the 303 it won at the last polls five years ago, meaning it would
need to rely on its alliance partners to pass legislation.

India had given the party and its allies a mandate “for a third consecutive
time”, Modi told a crowd of cheering supporters in the capital New Delhi.

“Our third term will be one of big decisions and the country will write a new
chapter of development. This is Modi’s guarantee.”

But in a remarkable turnaround largely driven by deals to field single
candidates against the BJP’s electoral juggernaut, the main opposition
Congress party was expected to take 99 seats, almost doubling its 2019 tally
of 52.

“The country has said to Narendra Modi ‘We don’t want you’,” key leader Rahul
Gandhi told reporters. “I was confident that the people of this country would
give the right response.”

With more than 99 percent of votes counted, the BJP’s vote share at 36.6
percent was marginally lower than at the last general election.

Modi was re-elected to his constituency representing the Hindu holy city of
Varanasi by a margin of 152,300 votes — compared to nearly half a million
votes five years ago.

Among the independent lawmakers elected were two serving time in jail —
firebrand Sikh separatist preacher Amritpal Singh, and Sheikh Abdul Rashid
from Indian-administered Kashmir, who was arrested on charges of “terror
funding” and money laundering in 2019.

– ‘Moral defeat’ –

Celebrations had already begun at the headquarters of Modi’s BJP before the
full announcement of results.

But the mood at the Congress headquarters in New Delhi was also one of
jubilation.

“BJP has failed to win a big majority on its own,” Congress lawmaker Rajeev
Shukla told reporters. “It’s a moral defeat for them.”

Stocks slumped on speculation the reduced majority would hamper the BJP’s
ability to push through reforms.

Shares in the main listed unit of Adani Enterprises — owned by key Modi ally
Gautam Adani — nosedived 25 percent, before rebounding slightly.

Modi’s opponents fought against a well-oiled and well-funded BJP campaign
machine, and what they say are politically motivated criminal cases aimed at
hobbling challengers.

US think tank Freedom House said this year that the BJP had “increasingly
used government institutions to target political opponents”.

Arvind Kejriwal, chief minister of the capital Delhi and a key leader in an
alliance formed to compete against Modi, returned to jail on Sunday.

Kejriwal, 55, was detained in March over a long-running corruption probe, but
was later released and allowed to campaign as long as he returned to custody
once voting ended.

“When power becomes dictatorship, then jail becomes a responsibility,”
Kejriwal said before surrendering himself, vowing to continue “fighting” from
behind bars.

– ‘Strength of Indian democracy’ –

Many of India’s Muslim minority are increasingly uneasy about their futures
and their community’s place in the constitutionally secular country.

Modi himself made several strident comments about Muslims on the campaign
trail, referring to them as “infiltrators”.

The polls were staggering in their size and logistical complexity, with 642
million voters casting their ballots — everywhere from megacities New Delhi
and Mumbai to sparsely populated forest areas and the high-altitude
Himalayas.

“People should know about the strength of Indian democracy,” chief election
commissioner Rajiv Kumar said Monday, calling the counting process “robust”.

Based on the commission’s figure of an electorate of 968 million, turnout
came to 66.3 percent, down roughly one percentage point from 67.4 percent in
the last polls in 2019.

Analysts have partly blamed the lower turnout on a searing heatwave across
northern India, with temperatures over 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees
Fahrenheit). (BSS/AFP)