Hong Kong leads most Asian markets higher on China support hopes

Hong Kong led a rally across most Asian markets Tuesday as traders were cheered by reports that Chinese authorities
were considering a blockbuster boost to equities after a painful start to the
year.

The surge came after another record day on Wall Street where optimism about
the outlook for the US economy has taken the place of expectations for a
string of interest rate cuts starting in March.

The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong piled on more than three percent in the
morning session and Shanghai also pushed higher after it emerged that Premier
Li Qiang had called for more “forceful” measures to support China’s battered
stocks, giving a shot in the arm to investor confidence.

Hong Kong has lost around 10 percent since the turn of the year and Shanghai
more than seven percent on worries that officials were not doing enough to
help the economy, which grew last year at its slowest pace since 1990,
outside the pandemic years.

Authorities are looking at a raft of initiatives, Bloomberg reported, adding
that policymakers were seeking to mobilise nearly $280 billion, mainly from
the offshore accounts of state-owned enterprises.

“It sounds like something had been readied in response to the recent equity
rout,” Neo Wang, at Evercore ISI, said.

“The market was poor enough to warrant such elevated attention — China
cannot afford to see A-shares sinking toward the Lunar New Year holidays.”

Saxo Markets’ Redmond Wong added that investors were hoping for more measures
at key upcoming meetings.

“Prevailing pessimism regarding the economy, policy efficacy, and reduced
allocation to China by global and Asian equity funds persists,” he said in a
commentary.

“Bargain hunters remain on the sidelines, and technical rebounds might face
selling pressure until more information emerges from the Third Plenum
potentially in February and the Two-session meetings in March, shedding light
on the trajectory of the Chinese economy.”

– Wall St records –

Most of Asia’s other markets also rose, with Sydney, Seoul, Wellington,
Taipei and Manila in the green.

But Tokyo edged down on profit-taking after a surge in recent weeks pushed
the Nikkei to three-decade highs. The Bank of Japan held off tightening
monetary policy, as expected, and gave no clues about a timetable for a
hawkish pivot from its ultra-loose position.

Singapore and Jakarta also dipped.

Mumbai edged lower a day after overtaking Hong Kong as the world’s fourth-
biggest stock market fuelled by optimism over India’s economy.

The total value of shares listed on Indian exchanges hit $4.3 trillion on
Monday, slightly higher than Hong Kong’s $4.29 trillion, according to data
compiled by Bloomberg.

Investors were given a healthy lead from New York, where the S&P 500 clocked
a second successive record and the Dow also hit a new high.

That come on the back of a renewed belief in the US economy, which continues
to show resilience in the face of two-decade high interest rates, with
consumer confidence rising and inflation expectations falling.

Traders had started the year on a somewhat sour note as a string of figures
and warnings from Federal Reserve officials all but doused expectations rates
will be cut in March and keep coming down through 2024.

“The story is changing for bulls,” said David Donabedian at CIBC Private
Wealth US.

“Investor optimism had been driven by the belief there would be aggressive
rate cuts by the Fed. Now investor belief has pivoted to view the economy as
bullet-proof. No matter how high interest rates go, the economy will continue
to glide right through.”

Investors are also gearing up for the release of corporate earnings, with
market titans including Procter & Gamble, Tesla, IBM, Intel and Netflix due
to report this week.

– Key figures around 0700 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.1 percent at 36,517.57 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 3.1 percent at 15,417.90

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.5 percent at 2,770.98 (close)

Dollar/yen: UP at 147.46 yen from 148.13 yen on Monday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0910 from $1.0885

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2746 from $1.2708

Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.60 pence from 85.63 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $74.88 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.2 percent at $80.20 per barrel

New York – Dow: UP 0.4 percent at 38,001.81 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.4 percent at 7,487.71 (close) . (BSS/AFP)